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An indicator that last blew up during the GFC is on the move again

Published by Business Insider on Fri, 13 Apr 2018


The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) isnt overly concerned about a recent spike in short-term US dollar borrowing costs, suggesting its not been driven by a perceived deterioration in creditworthiness in the financial system.Its not a GFC-type event, in other words.The recent spike does not relate to major market stress or concerns about bank credit risk. Indeed, spreads on long-term bank funding and credit-default swaps (CDS) remain very narrow, it says, pointing to the chart below showing that the widening in the US dollar OIS-Libor spread has not been accompanied by any meaningful lift in the cost to protect against potential default.The OIS-Libor spread measures the difference between overnight interest rates and the rate at which banks are willing to lend to each other over a three-month, unsecured basis.The RBA says the recent increase appears to be due to changes in the demand for and supply of money-market securities. While its not overly concerned by the recent spike, it says the rise in borrowing costs has spilled over to some other markets, including in the UnitedKingdom and Australia.Theres morehere Join the conversation about this storyNOW WATCH: Wall Street's biggest bull explains why trade war fears are way overblown
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