The Baltimore Ravens (3-4) will return from their bye looking to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) as small home favorites on Sunday.The Ravens have won the past three meetings with their AFC North rivals and may or may face Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger, who has been recovering from minor knee surgery.Point spread: The Ravens opened as three-point favorites; the total was 43 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark (line updates and matchup report).NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 26.4-17.2 Ravens (NFL picks on every game)Why the Steelers can cover the spreadPittsburgh could have Roethlisberger back for this game, but backup Landry Jones got even more experience in the team's 27-16 loss to the New England Patriots prior to its bye week. Jones completed 29 of 47 passes for 281 yards with one touchdown and one interception against the Patriots. It's more than likely that Jones will not have to throw the ball that much again at Baltimore.The Steelers still have one of the strongest running games in the NFL and will rely more heavily on LeVeon Bell and DeAngelo Williams to carry the load and help take some pressure off Jones or Roethlisberger.Why the Ravens can cover the spreadThe Ravens have won 10 of the last 13 at home against Pittsburgh and also own a 17-7 mark SU in their previous 24 after playing consecutive road games. They are preparing to face Roethlisberger, which is a smart thing to do, as they will not be surprised if he does indeed play.Regardless, Baltimores Joe Flacco will be the healthier and better of the two signal-callers on Sunday, and he has been one of the main reasons his team has enjoyed so much success in the rivalry recently. While Flacco has not yet had a really big game this season, the bye should have given him the extra rest needed to succeed. Smart pickThis game could go either way, as the point spread indicates, making it hard to pick a side between the Steelers and Ravens. Instead, look for another low-scoring affair that falls in line with their matchups over the previous two seasons, which is under the total. The under is 3-1-1 on the NFL lines in five meetings during that stretch, including 2-0 at Baltimore. Betting trendsThe Steelers are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games on the road against the Ravens.The Ravens are 2-13-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.The total has gone under in eight of the Steelers' last 10 games as an underdog. All NFL betting lines and point-spreads data courtesy of Bleacher Reports official odds partner Odds Shark. All quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line-movement updates and Odds Shark YouTube for picks and analysis, or download the free odds tracker app.
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