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Trump mocks Nate Silver: 'He's always been on the right side of what happened and he didn't predict me

Published by Business Insider on Fri, 07 Oct 2016


Donald Trump on Thursday brushed off polling expertNate Silver's forecast showing Hillary Clinton with high odds of bestingthe Republican presidential nominee in next month's election.Speaking to an audience at a town hall-style event in New Hampshire, Trumpseemed to dismiss FiveThirtyEight's election-forecasting model, which currently gives the former secretary of state a 78% chance of winningthe White House. "He didn't predict us in the primary and he had never called a loser before," Trump said. "He's always been on the right side of what happened in terms of, at least, his predictions and he didn't predict me in the primaries."The real-estate mogul alsoknocked Silver for not speaking to Trump himself, a factor that likely would not be necessary in FiveThirtyEight's forecast model, which includes an aggregation and adjustment of polls."Never seen me. Never spoken to me. Never saw what we did," Trump told the crowd, referencing his victory over the Republican primary field to become the party's nominee.FiveThirtyEight's modelhas whiffed on election predictions before, as has Silver himself.While Silver himself has a much-lauded record of correctly predicting presidential elections, the polling expert admitted that he underestimated Trump in the primary because he questioned the legitimacy of the polling results too much.He may have had good reason to be skeptical: FiveThirtyEightmissed the conservative wave in UK elections in 2015. In thatcase, the sitecited polling error and lack of enough reliable polling data as the root causes for the incorrect prediction.SEE ALSO:A Fox News correspondent is in hot water after a racially charged segment in New York City's ChinatownJoin the conversation about this storyNOW WATCH: Trump is doing worse than Romney with white voters
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