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Bleacher Report's Ultimate 2015-16 NBA Season Preview and Predictions

Published by Bleacher Report on Mon, 26 Oct 2015


As the NBA mourns the passing of Minnesota Timberwolves icon Flip Saunders and holds its breath for beloved son Lamar Odoms recovery, we can at least take solace that actual consequential NBA games are just around the corner. We really need the distraction right now. We need to see LaMarcus Aldridge in a Spurs uniform. We need to see Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant, Carmelo Anthony and Kevin Love healthy and revitalized. We need to see what Steph Curry has in mind for his next act. We also needed answers to the biggest questions heading into the 2015-16 season. We rallied our top national and team writers to find out... Will added mileage slow down LeBron James this year' The clock is ticking louder than ever for LeBron James to make good on his promise to deliver a title to Cleveland, if in no one else's head than his. It's why he put in three-a-day workouts to prepare for the season, a source close to James said, and why he invited the team down to Miami to prepare with him. While outsiders may look at the team's reign of supremacy as just beginning with Kyrie Irving, Kevin Love and Tristan Thompson alltwentysomethings, James is acutely aware that history says he's already defied the number ofconsecutive NBA Finals (five) one player is supposed to reach and that a physical toll eventually will have to be paid. As he sees it, he nearly pulled it off a season ago without a healthy Love or Irvingwhich is why he remains supremely confident that he can close the deal this year. Assuming, that is, that both they and he can hold up.Ric BucherCan the Golden State Warriors get even better this season'The answer depends on what "better" means. It's highly unlikely Golden State will post an even more historically dominant average margin of victory or win more than 67 games, but it'll be avoiding those lofty regular-season achievements by choice. Health will be critical, and we should expect to see the Warriors give away regular-season games here and there in the interest of preserving their core for the long haul of a title defense. Guys like Andre Iguodala, Andrew Bogut and even Stephen Curry will get games off. So maybe that means the final standings show a step backward. But with another year to build chemistry and add layers to Steve Kerr's offense (and a chorus of doubters providing motivation), the Dubs could enter the playoffs a much more dangerous team than they were last year. That's the kind of "better" that actually matters.Grant HughesWill the LA Lakers Finally Face Reality'For nearly two celebratory decades, the Los Angeles Lakers orbited Kobe Bryant. But that ends in 2016. Heading into this seasonpossibly Bryants lastthe organization needs to get their priorities in order. Do they want to win as many games as possible, play their veterans, fall short of the postseason and lose their 2016 first-round pick (which goes to the Philadelphia 76ers if its not in the top three)' Or will they hold a mini fire sale, make in-season trades that help solidify the future and focus all their energy on developing DAngelo Russell, Jordan Clarkson, Julius Randle and Larry Nance Jr.' Since the draft, almost all L.A.s personnel decisions lean toward the former, but going down the opposite path may be a healthier option.Michael PinaAre LaMarcus Aldridge and the San Antonio Spurs really a perfect fit'When hoop heads think of the San Antonio Spurs, theres a good chance that mental movie features a brilliant display of ball movement that ultimately creates a clean look for a capable shooter. Guess who consistently buries that type of shot: LaMarcus Aldridge. There have been loud whispers that the four-time All-Star isnt cut from a Spursian cloththat hes too concerned with individual numbers and a potential ball-stopper on offense.The truth is hes built to dominate in this system. He tallied 314 points on spot-up shots and 386 on catch-and-shoot attempts last season, per NBA.com; Danny Green was the only Spur to clear either mark. Aldridge also added the long ball to his arsenal, shattering his previous bests with 37 makes and a 35.2 percent conversion rate. The Texas native should look like a silver-and-black natural. And the differences he does bring will only make the Spurs harder to stop.Zach BuckleyHow can Fred Hoiberg take the Bulls to the next level'The Bulls roster is virtually identical to last year's team, but their identity couldn't be more different. Last year's Tom Thibodeau-led team was 21st in league pace at 95.3 possessions per 48 minutes, perNBA.com. That's been a point of emphasis for Fred Hoiberg in his first NBA training camphe wants the Bulls to get into sets early in the shot clock, and Derrick Rose has raved about his potential production in this free-flowing system.Last season's Bulls attempted 22.3 threes per game (16th most in the league); in eight preseason games under Hoiberg, that number has skyrocketed to fifth highest at 28.8. Hoiberg's decision to start Nikola Mirotic alongside Pau Gasol and move Joakim Noah to the bench will open up the offense, but it also sends a clear message that defense is a secondary concern. Get ready for the Bulls to play a lot of 120-115 games and not as many 80-75 games.Sean HighkinWith Kevin Durants 2016 free agency dominating headlines, what about Russell Westbrook'How well the Oklahoma City Thunder do this season under new coach Billy Donovan will certainly affect Durants position. If Durant leaves and the Thunder miss their championship prime, the next domino to fall is Westbrook. But one thought that cant be overlooked as Durant evaluates this now: What if Durant stays, but Westbrook leaves a year later' Durant, who played at the University of Texas, has connected with the Oklahoma fanbase in a meaningful way. Westbrook is obviously a free thinker and unabashed doer who wouldnt be above making a bold choice. As long as Durant and Westbrook are together, the Thunder are a title threat. All eyes are on Durant now, but part of the urgencyand pressurefor Oklahoma City is that the team needs to be great this season to show Westbrook the worth of staying, too.Kevin DingAre the LA Clippers more concerned about touches or championships'DeAndre Jordan was on his way to Dallas because he wanted the chance to be an All-Star and a featured part of the offense; coach Rick Carlisle made a convincing presentation of exactly how he would do that. The Clippers, after failing to answer that question the first time they met with him, did so in their last-ditch effort to get him back. But how exactly are they going to accomplish that with not only Chris Paul and Blake Griffin, but Lance Stephenson, Paul Pierce and Jamal Crawford needing their shots and touches as well' And how is Jordan going to react if his offensive role is even smaller than it was last year outside of when injuries expanded it' That's why, for as much of a relief as it had to be for the organization that Jordan returned and how much talent they added, the simplest of chemistry questions remains: Can they keep everybody happy' Coach Doc Rivers did it successfully in Boston, but that was with three veterans willing to sacrifice anything to win a ring. Are the Clippers' starsJordan includedat that point' We're about to find out.Ric BucherHow concerned should we be about a potential lockout in 2017'No one wants to read about NBA labor matters, and no one wants to listen to the histrionic he said, she saids that fuel every tedious, nauseating shutdown in pro sports. So Im here, dear reader, with two encouraging bullet points: 1. The NBA and the players union are quietly working to avoid another shutdown. 2. I believe theres a very good chance they will succeed. The labor deal signed after the 2011 lockout runs through 2021, unless one party or the other elects to opt out in 2017. But theres really no reason to do so. The first installment from a $24 billion national TV deal will begin filling team coffers next fall. The average player salary should hit $7.5 million next season. Franchise values are skyrocketing. The game has never been more popular. Yes, a few teams might still be losing money. Yes, the players would love to make a few changes to the system. But another shutdown would be sheer lunacy under the circumstances. Union chief Michele Roberts has hinted at reaching a new agreement by next summer. That sounds a tad optimistic. But $24 billion tends to put everyone in a good mood.Howard BeckCan the Houston Rockets fix their most glaring issue'James Harden, whose 2014-15 season ended with 12 turnovers in Game 5 against the Warriors in the Western Conference Finals, has preached the importance of taking care of the ball all preseason long. The Rockets offense slipped to 12th in points scored per possession last season, and its clear turnovers were to blame. The Rockets ranked 28th in turnovers, averaging 16.7 per 100 possessions. The next worst Western Conference playoff team in turnover ratio, the San Antonio Spurs, were 14th. Turnovers also handicapped an otherwise strong defense, with the Rockets allowing the third-most points off turnovers in the NBA.Jonathan FeigenWill the NY Knicks finally take pride on the defensive end'TheNew York Knicks finished 28th in defensive efficiency last year and have been in the bottom 10 in 10 of the last 14 seasons. The starting lineupJose Calderon, Arron Afflalo, Carmelo Anthony, Kristaps Porzingis and Robin Lopezfeatures four below-average defenders (depending on how you feel about Afflalo, whose reputation has exceeded his tape and advanced metrics for at least two years now). Can Lopez paper over all the issues on the perimeter by himself' Considering even Tyson Chandler couldnt make the Knicks respectable defensively, probably not. Shifting minutes from Calderon to the young tandem of Jerian Grant and Langston Galloway may help some. As would playing Carmelo more at power forward than small forward, where his deficiencies guarding in space are more noticeable.Jared DubinCan Goran Dragic and Dwyane Wade make each other better'Few NBA backcourts can match the collective talents of the Miami Heats Dwyane Wade-Goran Dragic tandem. But, as the old adage goes, ability alone does not a great guard combo make. Theres more to figuring out this duo than lining them up together and letting them loose. The pair lost a combined 6.5 field-goal percentage points when they shared the floor last seasonfrom 48.2 to 42.3 percent for Wade and 50.3 to 49.7 for Dragic. Those numbers shouldnt be alarming. Wade plays a calculated, methodical game, while Dragic darts around like a tardy driver in rush-hour traffic. Both also work best with the ball in their hands, and neither possesses the most reliable three ball. The Heat, who have the leagues oldest roster, need these two to blend their styles together sooner rather than later.Zach BuckleyWhat is OKC Thunders ceiling if stars are healthy'During the short time Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook were simultaneously healthy, the Oklahoma City Thunder managed to outscore the opposition by 9.3 points per 100 possessions when both superstars were on the court, via NBA.com. Throw Serge Ibaka into a three-man equation with those two, and the net rating rises to a staggering 11.4 during the 27 games they suited up alongside each other. Considering the Golden State Warriors rode a league-best 10.2 net rating to 67 wins during the 2014-15 regular season, that's great news for a core that should be healthy and raring to climb back up the Western Conference standings after an injury-riddled year in the lottery. Adam FromalWhich rookie will have the greatest impact on his team this season'Emmanuel Mudiay is the clear choice here, if only because he's the only top-10 pick who won't cede touches to a more established No. 1 option. Karl-Anthony Towns has Andrew Wiggins; D'Angelo Russell has Kobe Bryant and Nick Young; Mario Hezonja won't even be starting, and when he does play, he'll defer to Tobias Harris, Elfrid Payton and Victor Oladipo; Kristaps Porzingis will bow at the altar of Carmelo Anthony; Jahlil Okafor may be the only exception, but touches don't always translate to dominance when the defense has nothing to plan for but you. The list goes on.Mudiay, on the other hand, is the man. He's the Denver Nuggets' first line of attack now that Ty Lawson is gone, so the usage will be there. More to the point, he spent both the summer league and preseason showcasing those glittery and incisive drives that rival John Wall in speed and explosion but mirror Tony Parker in the way he works the corners on kick-outs.Given his immediate role, as well as the imprint he's bound to leave on Denver's transitioning offense, Mudiay isn't just in line to have a greater impact than any of his peers. He's a Rookie of the Year favorite.Dan FavaleBleacher Report NBA staff and expert predictions:Most Valuable Player: LeBron James (5), Anthony Davis (4), Kevin Durant (2), James Harden (2), Russell WestbrookDefensive Player of the Year: Rudy Gobert (8), Kawhi Leonard (5), Anthony DavisExecutive of the Year: R.C. Buford (10), Doc Rivers, David Griffin, Daryl Morey, Danny AingeCoach of the Year: Billy Donovan (3), Fred Hoiberg (2), Steve Kerr (2), Brad Stevens (2), David Blatt, Quin Snyder, Alvin Gentry, Doc Rivers,Gregg PopovichSixth Man of the Year: Isaiah Thomas (8), Andre Iguodala, Patrick Beverley, Ryan Anderson, Joakim Noah, Tristan Thompson, David WestRookie of the Year: Emmanuel Mudiay (9),Jahlil Okafor (5), Mario HezonjaMost Improved Player: Giannis Antetokounmpo (3), C.J. McCollum (2), Otto Porter, Bradley Beal, Reggie Jackson, Victor Oladipo, Rudy Gobert, Meyers Leonard, Andrew Wiggins, Kawhi LeonardWestern Conference Champions: Warriors (6), Spurs (3), Thunder (3), Rockets (2)Eastern Conference Champions: Cavs (13), BullsNBA Champions: Warriors (6), Thunder (3), Rockets (2), Spurs (2), CavsHoward Becks Predictions (@HowardBeck)Most Valuable Player: Kevin DurantDefensive Player of the Year: Kawhi LeonardExecutive of the Year: R.C. BufordCoach of the Year: Quin SnyderSixth Man of the Year: Andre IguodalaRookie of the Year: Emmanuel MudiayMost Improved Player: Otto PorterWestern Conference Champion: San Antonio SpursEastern Conference Champion: Cleveland CavaliersNBA Champion: San Antonio SpursRic Bucher(@RicBucher)MVP: Russell WestbrookDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Alvin GentrySixth Man: Patrick BeverleyROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Giannis AntetokounmpoWestern Champ: WarriorsEastern Champ: CavaliersNBA Champ: WarriorsZach Buckley (@ZachBuckleyNBA)MVP: LeBron JamesDPOY: Rudy GobertExecutive: R.C. BufordCoach: Doc RiversSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Bradley BealWestern Champ: ThunderEastern Champ: CavaliersNBA Champ: ThunderJoel Cordes (@bball_joel)MVP: LeBron JamesDPOY: Anthony DavisExec: Doc RiversCoach: Billy DonovanSixth Man: Ryan AndersonROY: Jahlil OkaforMIP: Reggie JacksonWestern Champ: ThunderEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: ThunderKevin Ding (@KevinDing)MVP: James HardenDPOY: Kawhi LeonardExec: David GriffinCoach: Fred HoibergSixth Man: Joakim NoahROY: Jahlil OkaforMIP: C.J. McCollumWestern Champ: ThunderEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: ThunderJared Dubin (@JADubin5)MVP: Anthony DavisDPOY: Kawhi LeonardExec: Daryl MoreyCoach: Billy DonovanSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Victor OladipoWestern Champ: RocketsEastern Champ: CavaliersNBA Champ: RocketsDan Favale (@danfavale)MVP: Anthony DavisDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Steve KerrSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: C.J. McCollumWestern Champ: WarriorsEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: WarriorsJonathan Feigen (@Jonathan_Feigen)MVP: LeBron JamesDPOY: Kawhi LeonardExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Gregg PopovichSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Rudy GobertWestern Champ: SpursEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: CavsAdam Fromal(@Fromal09)MVP: Anthony DavisDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Billy DonovanSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Meyers LeonardWestern Champ: WarriorsEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: WarriorsSean Highkin (@highkin)MVP: LeBron JamesDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: Danny AingeCoach: Brad StevensSixth Man: Tristan ThompsonROY: Jahlil OkaforMIP: Giannis AntetokounmpoWestern Champ: RocketsEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: RocketsGrant Hughes (@gt_hughes)MVP: Anthony DavisDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Steve KerrSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Andrew WigginsWestern Champ: WarriorsEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: WarriorsMichael Pina (@MichaelVPina)MVP: LeBron JamesDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Brad StevensSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Mario HezonjaMIP: Kawhi LeonardWestern Champ: SpursEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: SpursGreg Swartz (@CavsGregBR)MVP: James HardenDPOY: Rudy GobertExec: R.C. BufordCoach: David BlattSixth Man: Isaiah ThomasROY: Jahlil OkaforWestern Champ: WarriorsEastern Champ: CavsNBA Champ: WarriorsChris Trenchard(@ChrisTrenchard)MVP: Kevin DurantDPOY: Kawhi LeonardExec: R.C. BufordCoach: Fred HoibergSixth Man: David WestROY: Emmanuel MudiayMIP: Giannis AntetokounmpoWestern Champ: WarriorsEastern Champ: BullsNBA Champ: Warriors
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